Download PDF Visions of 2050, by Roger Bourke White Jr.
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Visions of 2050, by Roger Bourke White Jr.
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Welcome to 2050—what the real 2050 could be like. This book is about what life will be like when “cyber” is prolific, self-aware, and in full control of large scale industry, service, and transportation. There will be fascinating changes in how humans live and what they think about.
Some changes you will read about are the following:
—Cyber muses: “Behind every great man . . . er, person, there is a good wom . . . er, cyber muse!”
—Wearables and surveillance: These mean fast fixing of problems in both machines and people. Privacy? Third fiddle to fast fix and inspiring body and mind altering.
—Total entitlement state: Necessities fully covered! Now how about human wants and feelings? The chapters in this book are of two styles:
—Essays describing what changes will be happening
—Stories that put a deeply human twist on the ramifications of these changes
In this much-changed world, what will people be experiencing, what will they be thinking about, and what will they be aspiring for? These are the questions being asked and answered in Visions of 2050.
- Sales Rank: #4966101 in Books
- Published on: 2015-09-01
- Released on: 2015-09-01
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x .73" w x 6.00" l, .95 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 322 pages
About the Author
Roger Bourke White Jr. is a careful observer of life and people, and he's done so from many interesting perspectives. He was a soldier in Vietnam in the 1960s, a college student at MIT in the 1970s, a computer network pioneer in the 1980s, and a teacher in Korea in the 1990s.
Most helpful customer reviews
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Fresh and compelling insights
By John
Even if you think a great deal about tomorrow, this series of essays by futurist Roger Bourke White Jr. will give you fresh and compelling insights about what lies ahead. White starts with highly reasonable premises and logically develops them and their implications into surprising, sometimes inspiring, often discomfiting conclusions about society, economics, education, the environment, and privacy. He is well read of the futurist literature, adds his own perspectives and uniquely synthesizes them into his vision of 2050.
His stories, mixed in with the essays, are so engaging and fun that I give him a pass if there are minor inconsistencies. After all, we are talking about the future: imagination and poetic license are both required and welcome. Several aspects of White’s vision, such as next-generation handheld devices and ubiquitous wearables, are already coming at us.
In White’s world, avatars are central to everyday life, there is "necessity money" which everyone gets and "luxury money" which has to be worked for. Necessity money is provided by the Total Entitlement State. There has been a lot of progress in biotechnology. People have adapted to life in environments ranging from other planets to the ocean floor. They have done so by using gene editing to craft different body styles. As White describes life in 2050, we gain insights about US and world history and life in 2015. In chapters 2 and 3, we get to witness first-hand how the Singularity will be reached – the point at which machine intelligence equals and exceeds human intelligence.
White sees a highly automated future economy – the Total Entitlement State (TES) – in which artificial intelligences (AIs), impervious to bribery, corruption, and public choice effects, plan the production and distribution of goods. It is rosy in some ways, dystopian in others. The economic automation immediately raises questions. In a free society, thanks to innovation, the boundary between necessary and luxury goods is always moving upward (more and more luxury goods becoming necessary); will this progress continue in White’s TES if AIs are doing the innovating? Who owns and programs the AIs?
White’s vision of education is that through exploration and experimentation, the truth will out, whether materials science, history, or other field of study. A range of human-like “cyber muses” will serve all the same purposes that various humans in our lives serve today: companionship, learning, intimacy, sounding boards, play, matchmaker, and sexual gratification. They will feed our self-esteem and vanity; challenge us to greater achievement; and console us when we are depressed. And there are plenty of surprises, such as some people getting copyrighted so muses have to pay to imitate them. Like an actor breaking the fourth wall, White often shares what led to his 2050 thinking, for example, recommended books or his personal experiences with real women who served as muses for him.
In summary, White’s 2050 vision combines wondrous technological advances with how human thinking will be changed by these advances. This is a truly unique mix of speculations and the ramifications of those speculations.
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Neat Visions of the Future
By Roger B. White Jr.
The neat part about this book is it is a mix of essays about how different our future will be, and science fiction stories to put a nicely human twist on what those differences will mean in how we think about things.
The center of the difference is increasing automation, being handled by increasing aware computer systems. White does a neat job of talking about how these will affect how we live.
One of the neat ideas he comes up with is cyber muses -- these are computer systems designed specifically to stroke human thinking. At first they will just talk, not much later they will start inhabiting physical bodies, and then all sorts of fun stuff can happen. I love his story about Party Time when a guy brings his muse along as he tries to score.
Another thing White gets into is wearables and how these will change how we live and think.
All-in-all, lots of new and interesting ideas are being presented here, and they are being presented in a new and interesting format.
I really enjoyed it.
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